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Faster Economic Growth, Weaker Hiring Seen by Harriet Torry and Anthony DeBarros

William Attardi on October 13, 2025

Prospects for U.S. economic growth are looking up, as investment in artificial intelligence booms and risks around tariffs diminish, according to economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal. Even as the economists have raised estimates for economic growth, they have lowered prospects for jobs. Behind the strange dichotomy: Employers are reluctant to hire given political uncertainty and rising costs, even as their investment, especially in AI, is boosting productivity and economic growth.  That slower job growth, however, won’t translate into notably higher unemployment, because the Trump administration’s crackdown on immigration is reducing the supply of workers. Economists expect the jobless rate to hover around 4.5% over the next year. It was 4.3% in August.  tCTlJoMg7sMgno0naAXk-WSJNewsPaper-10-13-2025.pdf

Trump Policies Will Cut Deficits Up to $11 Trillion, White House Economist Says by Skylar Woodhouse

William Attardi on June 26, 2025

President Donald Trump’s policies will reduce US fiscal deficits by up to $11 trillion over the coming decade, according to the White House’s chief economist Stephen Miran, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers— a projection that defies analysts who say government debt is poised to climb to record highs in coming years. About half the savings, or $3 trillion to $5 trillion, would come from faster economic growth — thanks to the pending Republican tax cut bill, along with deregulation efforts — Miran argued. He also cited a $3 trillion bump in revenues from Trump’s tariff hikes, referring reporters to the Congressional Budget Office’s recent calculation — which came in at $2.8 trillion. Reduced debt loads thanks in part to those savings will help to bring down the US Treasury’s interest costs by approximately $1 trillion to $1.5 trillion, he said.  “Those are very big numbers.”  Trump Policies Will Cut Deficits Up to $11 Trillion, White House Economist Says

Remembering the Solemn Purpose of Memorial Day

Memorial Day is a federal holiday in the United States observed on the last Monday in May to honor and mourn U.S. military personnel who died while serving in the armed forces. The holiday traces its roots to the years immediately following the American Civil War (1861–1865), which caused massive casualties—roughly 620,000 soldiers dead, about 2% of the U.S. population at the time. Communities across the North and South began spontaneously decorating the graves of fallen soldiers with flowers, wreaths, and flags, a practice that gave rise to the original name: Decoration Day. On May 5, 1868, Major General John A. Logan, commander-in-chief of the Grand Army of the Republic (GAR)—a powerful Union veterans’ organization—issued General Order No. 11. This proclaimed May 30, 1868, as a nationwide “Decoration Day” to honor those who died in the Civil War. After World War I, the holiday expanded to honor all American service members who died in any war, not just the Civil War.  In 1968, Congress passed the Uniform Monday Holiday Act to create more three-day weekends for federal employees. This moved Memorial Day to the last Monday in May, effective in 1971, when it was also officially named “Memorial Day.” As one 1868 quote put it: “That Nation which respects and honors its dead, shall ever be respected and honored itself.”